Junior Ganymede
Servants to folly, creation, and the Lord JESUS CHRIST. We endeavor to give satisfaction

Birth Order Stats

July 08th, 2016 by John Mansfield

From “Table 2. Births, by age of mother, live-birth order, and race of mother: United States, 2014” in “Births: Final Data for 2014,” National Vital Statistics Reports, Volume 64, Number 12 are the following number of first-borns, second-borns, etc.:

1st: 1,550,475; 2nd: 1,267,334; 3rd: 667,446; 4th: 283,953; 5th; 110,565; 6th: 46,045; 7th: 20,771; 8th and over: 21,589; not stated: 19,898; total: 3,988,076.

That makes for the following ratios:

1st/2nd: 1.22; 2nd/3rd: 1.90; 3rd/4th: 2.35; 4th/5th: 2.57; 5th/6th: 2.40; 6th/7th: 2.22.

I wonder what my six children would make of this, particularly the youngest. The ratios correspond somewhat with my own experience as a potential parent: The choice to have a second child was never pondered independently—it was part of the choice to marry. After that, conception was a consciously considered matter, and considered one child at a time. The last two were on exception, though. Before conceiving a fifth child, we decided to also have a sixth if we could and then retire from getting and bearing. After the sixth was born, that seemed to be a good decision and we stayed with it.

Comments (1)
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No Tag
July 08th, 2016 06:17:58
1 comment

el oso
July 10, 2016

There is a giant cliff after 2 children. There are more 2nd children born than all after combined. This is the same for the 3rd, 4th, 5th & 6th child.
I thought that our family ward was kind of low on large families with children, we have 6 kids and no other family with children at home has more. Only one couple near our age has 6 all other younger families have 5 or fewer.
However, the recent births in the ward include plenty of 3rd & 4th children and 1 fifth child. In the US it looks like 4th and 5th children are 10% of the population, in our ward it is 25%. This is a small sample population, but would fit the general trend of most LDS families have 3 or 4 kids (versus only 2 for others) with a significant percentage having 5 or more.

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